Working Papers

• "Learning before Crisis Bargaining" (with Alex Hirsch and Sota Minowa)

Published Papers

• "Juking the Stats: Policing, Misreporting, and Policy Evaluation" forthcoming at Review of Economic Studies (with Carlo Horz).
• "The Point of Attack: Where and Why Does Oil Cause Armed Conflict in Africa?" forthcoming at Journal of Politics (with Graeme Blair and Darin Christensen).
• "Tug of War: The Heterogeneous Effects of Outbidding between Terrorist Groups" 2025. International Organization, 79(1): 81-116 (with Casey Crisman-Cox).
• "How Budget Shape Autocrats' Survival Strategies" 2024. Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 19(1): 53-90 (with Darin Christensen).
• "Strategic Reporting: A Formal Model of Bias in Conflict Data" 2023. American Political Science Review, 117(4):1291-307 (with Jessica Steinberg).
• "Mowing the Grass" 2023. Journal of Theoretical Politics, 35(3): 204-31. [Replication Materials]
• "Competition and Civilian Victimization" 2022. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 66(4-5): 809-35 (with Brenton Kenkel and Miguel Rueda).
• "Do Major-Power Interventions Encourage the Onset of Civil Conflict? A Structural Analysis" 2022. Journal of Politics, 35(3): 204-31 (with Sergio Montero).
• "Decentralization, Repression, and Gambling for Unity" 2021. Journal of Politics, 83(4): 1353-68.
• "Estimating Signaling Games in International Relations: Problems and Solutions" 2021. Political Science Research and Methods, 9(3): 565-82 (with Casey Crisman-Cox).
• "Audience Costs and the Dynamics of War and Peace" 2018. American Journal of Political Science, 62(3): 566-80 (with Casey Crisman-Cox).
• "Fair Play in Assemblies" 2015.  Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 10(3): 275-320.
• "Fuzzy Black's Median Voter Theorem," 2012. New Mathematics and Natural Computation, 8(2): 195-217 (with John Mordeson and Terry Clark).
• "Assessing Policy Stability in Iraq" 2012. Public Choice, 151(3-4): 409-42 (with Peter Casey, Mark Wierman, John Mordeson, and Terry Clark).
• "The Uncovered Set and Indifference in Spatial Models" 2011. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 168(1): 89-101 (with John Mordeson, Terry Clark,  Nicholas Miller and Peter Casey).

Book

• Fuzzy Social Choice Theory. (with Annie Gowen, Karen Albert, John Mordeson, Mark. Wierman, and Terry Clark) Springer: 2014.

Works in Progress

• "One-dimensional Bargaining: Uniqueness and Computation" (with Tasos Kalandrakis)​
• "Strategic Foreign Aid: A Structural Approach'' (with Brenton Kenkel, Anthony Luongo, and Miguel Rueda)
• "Estimating Juror Preferences: A Revealed Preference Approach" (with Joanna Huey)
• "Uniqueness in Generalized Tullock Contests with a Status-quo Option" (with Brenton Kenkel, Anthony Luongo, and Miguel Rueda)
  

Other Papers

• "Endogenous Issue Salience and Ownership Models of Elections" (with Sergio Ascencio)
• "Estimating Grievances in the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict"