Working Papers
Published Papers
Book
Works in Progress
Other Papers
- "Juking the Stats: Policing, Evaluation, and Misreporting" (with Carlo Horz)
- "The Point of Attack: Where and Why Does Oil Cause Armed Conflict?" (with Graeme Blair and Darin Christensen) Invited to revise and resubmit at the Journal of Politics
- "Tug of War: The Heterogeneous Effects of Outbidding between Terrorist Groups" (with Casey Crisman-Cox) Invited to revise and resubmit at International Organization [Appendix]
Published Papers
- "How Budgets Shape Autocrats' Survival Strategies" (with Darin Christensen) Quarterly Journal of Political Science, Vol. 19 No. 1 (2024): pp. 53-90
- "Strategic Reporting: A Formal Model of Bias in Conflict Data" (with Jessica Steinberg) American Political Science Review, Vol. 117 No. 4 (2023): pp. 1291-1307
- "Mowing the Grass" Journal of Theoretical Politics, Vol. 35 No. 3 (2023): pp. 204-231 [Replication materials]
- "Competition and Civilian Victimization" (with Brenton Kenkel and Miguel Rueda) Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 66 No. 4-5 (2022): pp. 809-835
- "Do Major-Power Interventions Encourage the Onset of Civil Conflict? A Structural Analysis" (with Sergio Montero) Journal of Politics, Vol. 84 No. 2 (2022): pp. 944-959
- "Decentralization, Repression, and Gambling for Unity" Journal of Politics, Vol. 83 No. 4 (2021): pp. 1353-1368
- "Estimating Signaling Games in International Relations: Problems and Solutions" (with Casey Crisman-Cox) Political Science Research and Methods, Vol. 9 No. 3 (2021): pp. 565-582 [Appendix]
- "Audience Costs and the Dynamics of War and Peace" (with Casey Crisman-Cox) American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 62 No. 3 (2018): pp. 566-580 [Audience cost estimates]
- "Fair Play in Assemblies" Quarterly Journal of Political Science, Vol. 10 No. 3 (2015): pp. 275-320
- "Fuzzy Black's Median Voter Theorem" (with John Mordeson and Terry Clark) New Mathematics and Natural Computation, Vol. 8 No. 2 (2012): pp. 195-217
- "Assessing Policy Stability in Iraq" (with Peter Casey, Mark Wierman, John Mordeson, and Terry Clark). Public Choice, Vol. 151 No. 3-4 (2012): pp. 409-442
- "The Uncovered Set and Indifference in Spatial Models" (with John Mordeson, Terry Clark, Nicholas Miller and Peter Casey), Fuzzy Sets and Systems, Vol. 168 No. 1 (2011): pp. 89-101
Book
- Fuzzy Social Choice Theory (with Annie Gowen, Karen Albert, John Mordeson, Mark. Wierman, and Terry Clark) Springer: 2014
Works in Progress
- "One-dimensional Bargaining: Uniqueness and Computation" (with Tasos Kalandrakis)
- "Strategic Foreign Aid: A Structural Approach" (with Brenton Kenkel, Anthony Luongo, and Miguel Rueda)
Other Papers