Working Papers

• "Juking the Stats: Policing, Misreporting, and Policy Evaluation" (with Carlo Horz)
• "The Point of Attack: Where and Why Does Oil Cause Armed Conflict in Africa?" conditionally accepted at Journal of Politics (with Graeme Blair and Darin Christensen)

Published Papers

• "Tug of War: The Heterogeneous Effects of Outbidding between Terrorist Groups" forthcoming. International Organization (with Casey Crisman-Cox).
• "How Budget Shape Autocrats' Survival Strategies" 2024. Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 19(1) 53-90 (with Darin Christensen).
• "Strategic Reporting: A Formal Model of Bias in Conflict Data" 2023. American Political Science Review, 117(4) 1291-307 (with Jessica Steinberg).
• "Mowing the Grass" 2023. Journal of Theoretical Politics, 35(3): 204-31. [Replication Materials]
• "Competition and Civilian Victimization" 2022. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 66(4-5):809-35 (with Brenton Kenkel and Miguel Rueda).
• "Do Major-Power Interventions Encourage the Onset of Civil Conflict? A Structural Analysis" 2022. Journal of Politics, 35(3): 204-31 (with Sergio Montero).
• "Decentralization, Repression, and Gambling for Unity" 2021. Journal of Politics, 83(4): 1353-68.
• "Estimating Signaling Games in International Relations: Problems and Solutions" 2021. Political Science Research and Methods, 9(3):565-82 (with Casey Crisman-Cox).
• "Audience Costs and the Dynamics of War and Peace" 2018. American Journal of Political Science, 62(3): 566-80 (with Casey Crisman-Cox).
• "Fair Play in Assemblies,"  Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 10(3): 275-320.
• "Fuzzy Black's Median Voter Theorem," (with John Mordeson and Terry Clark) New Mathematics and Natural Computation, Vol. 8 No. 2 (2012): pp. 195-217.
• "Assessing Policy Stability in Iraq," (with Peter Casey, Mark Wierman, John Mordeson, and Terry Clark). Public Choice, Vol. 151 No. 3-4 (2012): pp. 409-42.
• "The Uncovered Set and Indifference in Spatial Models" (with John Mordeson, Terry Clark,  Nicholas Miller and Peter Casey),  Fuzzy Sets and Systems, Vol. 168 No. 1 (2011): pp. 89-101.

Book

• Fuzzy Social Choice Theory. (with Annie Gowen, Karen Albert, John Mordeson, Mark. Wierman, and Terry Clark) Springer: 2014.

Works in Progress

• "One-dimensional Bargaining: Uniqueness and Computation" (with Tasos Kalandrakis)​
• "Strategic Foreign Aid: A Structural Approach'' (with Brenton Kenkel, Anthony Luongo, and Miguel Rueda)
• "Estimating Juror Preferences: A Revealed Preference Approach" (with Joanna Huey)

Other Papers

• "Endogenous Issue Salience and Ownership Models of Elections" (with Sergio Ascencio)
• "Estimating Grievances in the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict"